Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.052344 0.061039 0.070585 0.081821 0.094666 0.108869 0.125743
2025-03-16 0.038313 0.049457 0.062830 0.079977 0.101291 0.126819 0.159602
2025-03-23 0.031452 0.044370 0.061109 0.084197 0.114987 0.154377 0.208282
2025-03-30 0.025374 0.038818 0.057498 0.084996 0.124013 0.176882 0.253305
2025-04-06 0.020171 0.033284 0.052716 0.083078 0.128642 0.193633 0.292243
2025-04-13 0.016400 0.029029 0.048887 0.081645 0.133349 0.210554 0.332820
2025-04-20 0.014601 0.027490 0.048837 0.085742 0.146568 0.240996 0.396037
2025-04-27 0.012950 0.025850 0.048284 0.088804 0.158314 0.270145 0.459907
2025-05-04 0.010786 0.022857 0.044915 0.086552 0.160894 0.284805 0.502001
2025-05-11 0.009227 0.020688 0.042625 0.085765 0.165680 0.303263 0.551651
2025-05-18 0.007738 0.018355 0.039638 0.083216 0.166904 0.315593 0.591803
2025-05-25 0.006608 0.016544 0.037354 0.081624 0.169564 0.330461 0.637362
2025-06-01 0.005853 0.015438 0.036377 0.082569 0.177305 0.355484 0.703865
2025-06-08 0.004925 0.013738 0.033876 0.080046 0.177978 0.367566 0.747936
2025-06-15 0.004595 0.013427 0.034367 0.083913 0.191924 0.405956 0.844372
2025-06-22 0.004087 0.012553 0.033436 0.084526 0.199163 0.431964 0.919284
2025-06-29 0.003499 0.011332 0.031477 0.082525 0.200568 0.446459 0.972848
2025-07-06 0.003026 0.010319 0.029853 0.081053 0.202915 0.462984 1.031692
2025-07-13 0.002869 0.010200 0.030483 0.085098 0.218092 0.507391 1.150681
2025-07-20 0.002679 0.009938 0.030694 0.088126 0.231223 0.548505 1.265873
2025-07-27 0.002308 0.009009 0.028937 0.085884 0.231662 0.562224 1.324326
2025-08-03 0.002037 0.008343 0.027801 0.085099 0.235503 0.583688 1.400943
2025-08-10 0.001748 0.007537 0.026111 0.082566 0.234708 0.594613 1.455280